There is hope dancing my ass off!
http://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Sugarbush/6day/top
This weekend is not looking good, but Friday does appear to be the changeover, and the next two week forecast for both snowmaking and real snow is looking much better. I am betting that the weekend of December 5th is going to be the weekend to put on the skis and boards and that it will remain good thereafter.
There is hope dancing my ass off!
http://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Sugarbush/6day/top
from NWS BTV
FRIDAY NITE/SATURDAY...TRICKY PART OF THE FCST. AS UPPER TROF CUTS
OFF...THE SFC LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN...LIKELY BELOW 980MB BY
EARLY SATURDAY. IT WILL SLOW ITS FORWARD PROGRESS AS IT MOVES
ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. COPIUS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO PINWHEEL
AROUND THE LOW...SO THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
PRECIP...SOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY NIGHT. MORE IMPORTANTLY...
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO COOL. NO STRONG SFC HIGH TO THE NORTH TO
PROVIDE ANY DRY/COOL AIR INTO THE SYSTEM...RATHER ITS FROM THE
DYNAMIC COOLING FROM STRONG UPWARD MOTION IN THE SYSTEM. SYSTEM IS
SO WRAPPED UP...THAT IT APPEARS THE COLDER TEMPS WILL APPROACH THE
AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURE PROFILES BEGIN TO SUPPORT
CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW LATE FRIDAY NITE. FREEZING LEVELS BY
SATURDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2000-3000FT...SO ACCUMULATING
SNOWS PROBABLY DOWN TO ABOUT 1500FT TO START THE DAY. BY THE
AFTERNOON...FREEZING LEVELS DROP A LITTLE BIT MORE...SO EVEN AT
THE VALLEY FLOOR WE SHOULD RAIN/SNOW MIX. CERTAINLY ABOVE 1000FT
IT WILL BE ALL SNOW. LOW PRESSURE WILL BE PULLING AWAY AND
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP. WITH A SUB 980MB LOW OFF TO OUR
EAST...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG. GUIDANCE SUGGESTING
WIND GUST POTENTIAL IN EXCESS OF 30KTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH THE BULK OF THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WILL BE MOVING OUT OF
THE AREA...FAVORABLE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL LEAD TO EXCELLENT UPSLOPE
FLOW CONDITIONS INTO SATURDAY EVENING.
LOTS OF THINGS COULD CHANGE BETWEEN NOW AND THEN...BUT WITH MODELS
IN RELATIVE AGREEMENT CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE. LOOKS TO BE AN VERY
ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENT SNOW EVENT. RAN A FEW SCENARIOS HERE TO SEE
WHAT WE MAY GET. ATTM IT LOOKS LIKE THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY MAY SEE
BETWEEN 1/2" TO 2"...BUT YOU GET OVER 1000FT AND WE ARE TALKING
SEVERAL INCHES. FAVORED HIGH TERRAIN/MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS MAY SEE
AMOUNTS OVER 10" BY SATURDAY NIGHT. OBVIOUSLY THIS WILL IMPACT
TRAVELLERS ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE ISSUED
HAZARDOUS WX OUTLOOK AND TRIED TO HIGHLIGHT THIS POTENTIAL.
This weekend's forecast is starting to sound more interesting. Some of the local prognosticators are starting to get a little excited.
Stay tuned.
Trouble with you is the trouble with me,
Got two good eyes but we still don’t see!
It is good to get excited. Last night was a disappointment. We had the guns on for a short while, but had to shut down very early. Temperatures will not be good until Friday night it looks like.
Thanks for trying!Originally Posted by win
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