Reply With QuoteAO's definitely showing a coming spike...
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Thread: R Word! Actually maybe, but.....
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02-19-2007, 05:44 PM #1
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- Nov 2005
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- Warren
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- 395
R Word! Actually maybe, but.....
The last few discussions have been alluding to a pattern shift and some type of "warmer" precip towards the end of the weekend. Well the last discussion has been given us a glimmer of hope about possibly missing a worst case event.
But after our historic snow event, clean off your decks, if you haven't already, and get back out there.
THE OTHER CONCERN IS HOW MUCH LIQUID PCPN ONTO AN ABUNDANT SNOWPACK
ACRS FA...WHICH WL ACT AS A SPONGE AND MAKE ALRDY HEAVY LOADS ON
DECKS...ROOFS...ETC THAT MUCH MORE WEIGHT-BEARING. THEREFORE...IT IS
EVEN MORE CRITICAL DRG THE NXT WEEK TO ATTEMPT TO REMOVE AS MUCH
SNOW FM VULNERABLE LOCATIONS AS PSBL.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
358 PM EST MON FEB 19 2007
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02-19-2007, 05:55 PM #2
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- Nov 2005
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- Out on the mountain
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- 928
Ithaca is (not) Vermont (but it is gorges)
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02-19-2007, 06:57 PM #3
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- Nov 2006
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- 1,027
Don't even talk about it! Please!
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02-20-2007, 08:35 PM #4
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- Dec 2005
- Location
- cos cob, ct
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- 555
Have the temps really crept up 35 degrees this evening at the base? Its been a five weeks since that's happened, right?
Losing any snow yet?
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02-20-2007, 09:12 PM #5
- Join Date
- Feb 2006
- Location
- New York
- Posts
- 2,597
33 at the LP base.
Originally Posted by random_ski_guy
Have the temps really crept up 35 degrees this evening at the base? Its been a five weeks since that's happened, right?
Losing any snow yet?
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02-21-2007, 10:44 AM #6
- Join Date
- Jan 2007
- Location
- North Shore, Long Isld
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- 24
50 degrees here on Long Island right now
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02-21-2007, 05:30 PM #7
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- Nov 2005
- Location
- Warren
- Posts
- 395
Some hope
Check out Josh's Blog
http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/
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02-21-2007, 05:57 PM #8
- Join Date
- Dec 2006
- Location
- stuck in a tree well
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- 124
Looks positive. Refresh the lines in Slidebrook.
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02-22-2007, 08:18 AM #9
- Join Date
- Nov 2005
- Location
- Warren
- Posts
- 395
Even better news
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COMPLEX AND STRONG STORM SYSTEM WL EJECT FROM THE HIGH PLAINS LATE
SATURDAY INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY...BEFORE LIFTING INTO THE
GREAT LAKES BY MONDAY. MODELS HAVE TRENDED COLDER AND SLOWER WITH
DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIP ACRS OUR CWA ON MONDAY AND CONT TO SHOW SYSTEM
GETTING SHEARED APART FROM CONFLUENT NW FLW ALOFT ACRS THE NE CONUS.
MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH TAKING PRIMARY LOW PRES ACRS CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES LATE SUNDAY...THEN HAVE SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
COAST ON MONDAY. THIS WL PREVENT WARM AIR FROM BEING ADVECTED INTO
OUR FA AND SHOULD KEEP PRECIP AS SNOW OR SLEET...GIVEN THERMAL
PROFILES. IN ADDITION...BEST LIFT/MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH MID LVL
WAA WL PROVIDE FA WITH A PERIOD OF SNOW ON MONDAY...BUT LATEST
TRENDS SHOW BEST MOISTURE/LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH COASTAL DEVELOPMENT
STAYING WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR FA. WL CONT TO MONITOR LATER
MODEL TRENDS FOR CHANGES IN TRACK AND DEVELOPMENT.
See, and I got all worried 1 week out
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