Finally a Coastal Storm.

[castlerock]

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MAJOR WINTER EVENT POTENTIAL FOR THE EXTENDED. LATEST MDL RUNS HAVE
DRAGGED COASTAL SYSTEM CLOSER TO THE NEW ENG COASTLINE...WHICH IN
TURN NOW FORCES MORE ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO THE FA. UPPER TROUGH
OVER CENTRAL U.S. DRAGS LOW CLOSER TO THE AREA AS IT MVS EAST. WITH
AMPLE QPF FROM THE ATLANTIC FEEDING INTO SYSTEM...SIGNIFCANT
SNOWFALL POSSIBLE. HARDEST HIT AREAS LOOK TO BE SC VT..ESPECIALLY
WIND/ORANGE CTYS...SO HAVE GONE HIGH LIKELY FOR NOW...AND WILL LET
LATER SHIFTS FINE TUNE THE POPS AS EVENT DRAWS NEARER. MDLS BEGIN TO
MV TOWARDS THE NE TOWARDS THE MAINE COASTLINE BY WED
NGT/THURS...SHIFTING PRECIP SHIELD TO ENCOMPASS MOST OF E VT. BY
LATE THURS INTO SATURDAY THE CWA WILL BE UNDER NORTHERLY FLOW AS
COASTAL SYSTEM SLOWLY WRAPS UP INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS
WILL PUT MAINLY THE NORTHERN REGIONS OF THE CWA...ESPECIALLY FOR N
VT...INTO POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUM. MTN AREAS OF NE VT
WILL BE CLOEST TO SYSTEM AND HAVE BEST POTENTIAL AS MOISTURE ADVECTS
AROUND THE SYSTEM. WILL TAPER PRECIP OFF FROM WEST TO EAST AS LOW
MVS OFF THE COASTINTO SATURDAY...ALLOWING THE REGION TO BEGIN TO CLR
OUT AS SFC RIDGE BUILDS OVER AREA SAT NGT INTO SUNDAY.

From the discussion 305 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007

Hopefully this will open up the woods for real. Take us to the "dial and drop" instead of "hunt and peck". (to quote J. Atkinson)

[BushMogulMaster]

I know Accuweather isn't always to be trusted, but this sure looks nice!

[Strat]

I think I need a new pair of pants (in response to the graphic).

Must. Not. Get. Overexcited. Oh who am I kidding, come on NOR'EASTER!!!

I'm gonna be crying into my cereal come Wednesday morning though, I just know it...

[BushMogulMaster]

I think I need a new pair of pants (in response to the graphic).

Must. Not. Get. Overexcited. Oh who am I kidding, come on NOR'EASTER!!!

I'm gonna be crying into my cereal come Wednesday morning though, I just know it...

I know... it's so INCREDIBLY hard not to get extremely excited looking at that graphic. But, if all of the previous storms are any indication of this one, we'll get a nice six inch fluff layer. Oh well... I can still hope and dream, can't I?


THINK SNOW!!!! SNOW SNOW SNOW!!! 18+ would be nice

[HowieT2]

I was waiting for someone to start a thread about this. I've been following this since friday. The graph from accuweather looks promising but a little early to make accumulations predictions and some models have it more of coastal event slamming Boston.

[BushMogulMaster]

I was waiting for someone to start a thread about this. I've been following this since friday. The graph from accuweather looks promising but a little early to make accumulations predictions and some models have it more of coastal event slamming Boston.

True. The high pressure dome could definitely throw this one a bit to the southeast, like the last few. But I still won't complain too much if we get shoved into the >12 range. Although, I'd love to see 24+", but I think that's a bit greedy!

[Strat]

I'll take 6 inches, thankyouverymuch...

Then again 18 would be a lot sweeter

[shadyjay]

Figures - I'm going to CT next weekend and that means its gonna dump Wed and I have to work. Oh well. Those are the breaks. 'Least I got 2 awesome jam-packed days at the 'Bush this weekend.

-Jay

[sugarboarder]

Mid-week pow...oh yeah!!!

All this racing is fun, but I NEED a change of pace!!!!

[freeheel_skier]

Mid-week pow...oh yeah!!!

AMEN! I think I will call in sick...or have some sort of IT issues!

[Yard Sale]

I may be coming down with a case of the runs. . . . Uh midweek powder runs that is.

[Strat]

So, here's the sweep of the models...
Right now the GFS has the Low moving too far Southeast to really hit us hard (though potential still exists for some fluff)

However, the ETA has a much nicer picture...

The precip amounts vary accordingly... GFS:

ETA:

[freeheel_skier]

Got some fluff this am @ my house....1" or so......Hoping for a dump Wed!

[sugarboarder]

Mid-week pow...oh yeah!!!

AMEN! I think I will call in sick...or have some sort of IT issues!

I can create some IT issues for anyone who requires them!!

[BushMogulMaster]

Forecast from the MRG weather blog looks VERY promising:

Major storm set to strike northern/central Vermont

Biggest storm, on a synoptic scale, is set to strike Mad River Glen and surrounding Vermont beginning late in the evening on Tuesday and lasting into Thursday. There will be both very heavy snow and high winds. The northern half of Vermont, the White Mountains of New Hampshire and much of the southern two thirds of Maine look to be in the storms sweet spot where total snowfall based on preliminary indications will be in the 18-36 inch range by late day Thursday. Wow !!! Coastal areas will see lots of sleet/ice and limited snowfall so don't be fooled if the forecast for Boston and New York downplays snowfall accumulations. There loss is our gain !!

I'll have a full update later today but I have to be careful not to get stricken with storm attention deficit disorder here at work

Posted by Joshua Fox at 9:20 AM