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HowieT2
01-11-2007, 04:16 PM
Somebody has to start a thread about this. What are the chances that we get snow monday-tuesday?

castlerock
01-11-2007, 04:34 PM
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
REGION WILL SEE CLRING FOR BEGINNING PORTION OF SUNDAY AS HIGH
SLIDES EAST FRNT SLOWLY PUSHES NORTH. W/ RIDGE OVER AREA IN PAST FEW
RUNS...THIS IS FORCING MORE EASTWARD MVMNT OF APPRAOCHING
SYSTEM...FOR THE ONSET. THIS WILL NOT ALLOW WARMER AIR TO WORK INTO
THE CWA...KEEPING ANY PRECIP SNOW OR POTENTIAL SNOW/SLEET MIX IN SC
VT. SECOND LOW MVS ALONG THIS FRNT AND OVER THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.
TRACK IS MORE SOUTH OF THE AREA...WHICH MEANS MOSTLY SNOW FOR CWA.
SOME WARM AIR DOES MIX IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...SO WILL PUT
IN SW/IP MIX UNTIL MON EVENING AS LOW EAST OF AREA SO ENITRE AREA
WILL BE SN/SW...ESPCIALLY NORTHERN AREAS. BASED ON THIS LOW TRACK
CLOSER TO ATLANTIC...POTENTIAL QPF AMTS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE
SNOWFALL AMTS AND MAY HAVE TO BE MONITORED. LATEST RUNS SHOW MORE
ELONGATED SHAPE TO LOW AS IT MVS ALONG FRNT. THIS MAY HELP TO LWR
QPF TOTALS IN CWA..ESPECIALLY CENTRAL/NORTHERN AREAS. WILL GO WITH
HPC GUIDANCE FOR NOW...KEEPING LIKELY POPS FOR THE AREA ON
MONDAY...TAPERING TO CHANCE POPS AS LOW MVS EAST. BETWEEN 00Z-06Z
WED.

From the discussion 405 PM EST THU JAN 11 2007

Tin Woodsman
01-11-2007, 05:42 PM
Somebody has to start a thread about this. What are the chances that we get snow monday-tuesday?

Yes, they are very good. My primary concernfor Monday/Tuesday at this point is whether or not it gets TOO cold and the best moisture gets supressed to our South. Wouldn't that just take the cake for a kick int he nuts.

HowieT2
01-11-2007, 09:19 PM
I noticed that the front moving south is something of a concern but let's not get greedy. Better cold and little snow then the dreaded NCP.

I was wondering if anyone had gleaned any potential snowfall amounts. Not to jinx anything but I have what has been referred to as powder envy.

ahm
01-12-2007, 03:16 PM
The 3 day weekend could quickly be stretching to 4.....................................

A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY
NIGHT AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST AND BE SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD BY
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. A COLD HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL BE CENTERED
OVER QUEBEC SUNDAY AND MONDAY THAT WILL HELP TO BRING COLDER AIR
INTO THE REGION. THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
THIS WINTER...WITH SNOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUING DURING THE DAY
ON MONDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY NIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO
SNOW SHOWERS LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

HowieT2
01-12-2007, 03:58 PM
coincidently my work obligations for tuesday were just resolved.

noski
01-12-2007, 07:30 PM
coincidently my work obligations for tuesday were just resolved.

....it's called an "outside appointment".